DEGEN Thursday Night Pick

DEGEN is on the Titans +6 and the over 43.5 tonight. However, as always, there is sadly a caveat. I’ve done other research showing that Thursday night games tend to go under, especially those on the lower end of the total base. (Meaning a total of 39 is very likely to go under on Thursday, while a 52 is closer to a coinflip).

I haven’t yet incorporated Bayesian calculations to figure out how to square those two pieces of data. The last two weeks, DEGEN was on the under on the Thursday night game anyways, so it didn’t come up. Gun to my head, I take the over however.



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