Daily NBA Pick

Strong day for the opening of NBA DEGEN (better name forthcoming). Only one pick so far today, as James Harden is hurt, and there’s no line on Rockets-Knicks as result.

Date Road Home/Neutral Road ML Home ML Predicted Moneyline Bet
Thu, Nov 14, 2013 Oklahoma City Golden State 157 -180 -316 Golden State

Yesterday’s games went 6-5 on the moneylines. Betting $100/game yielded a payout of +185.48.

I will continue posting bets based on $100/game. However, this may obviously be incorrect, as the “bankroll” fluctuates, and the certainty for each bet changes as well. The Kelly criterion¬†should really be employed here, and not in a “that would be a good idea” way, but rather in a “it’s the most important thing in sportsbetting” way.

I will likely code Kelly betting sizes into my excel sheet, and update accordingly.

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