Strong day for the opening of NBA DEGEN (better name forthcoming). Only one pick so far today, as James Harden is hurt, and there’s no line on Rockets-Knicks as result.
|Date||Road||Home/Neutral||Road ML||Home ML||Predicted Moneyline||Bet|
|Thu, Nov 14, 2013||Oklahoma City||Golden State||157||-180||-316||Golden State|
Yesterday’s games went 6-5 on the moneylines. Betting $100/game yielded a payout of +185.48.
I will continue posting bets based on $100/game. However, this may obviously be incorrect, as the “bankroll” fluctuates, and the certainty for each bet changes as well. The Kelly criterion should really be employed here, and not in a “that would be a good idea” way, but rather in a “it’s the most important thing in sportsbetting” way.
I will likely code Kelly betting sizes into my excel sheet, and update accordingly.