December 8 Picks

Sorry for the added complexity – I know nobody wants to see that, but it can’t be helped, and is ultimately a value added. As a reminder:

The yellow picks are the same as always.

The blue picks is a regression based on success rates from the old method (looking at factors like spread delta, the actual spread, and a few other things). Sometimes this regression overturns the picks, like you see here with the Timberwolves and the Jazz. I’m not yet sure how significant that is, as we’re dealing with 2 games of data so far (last night). In both those cases however, the Blue picks won.

I am betting only games where both methods agree for now, and also staying away from the low confidence picks. Fully Kelly bet percentages given.


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