I’m trying to keep this consistent. Yellow picks mean the same as always. I’ve eliminated the blue (logistic regression) picks for now, but they’ll be back once I have time to do some more work with them.
I’ve added a green column here representing a possible adjustment for both garbagetime and for coaching adjustments. They’re not part of the picks yet. If you want to apply it, subtract the Garbage/Coaching column from the predicted spread (so Cleveland would lose 2.84 points and no longer be a bet potentially).